FOPZ12 KNHC 271445
PWSEP2
HURRICANE GILMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072024
1500 UTC TUE AUG 27 2024
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 140.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
20N 145W 34 X 16(16) 11(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
20N 150W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 12(28) X(28) X(28)
20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
20N 151W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 16(22) X(22) X(22)
20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER HAGEN/BROWN
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