WTNT24 KNHC 151526
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM SARA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL192024
1500 UTC FRI NOV 15 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  86.0W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  86.0W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  85.7W

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.1N  86.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  30SE  30SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.2N  86.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE  30SE  30SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.5N  87.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 16.8N  88.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.6N  90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 19.2N  91.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N  86.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 15/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN